Compliance & Policy
The HR Professional’s Guide To The End of The Non-Compete Era
Last month, the Federal Trade Commission issued a new rule that invalidates non-compete agreements for the vast majority of employment contracts, reducing the percentage of the employees subject to non-compete agreements from almost 20% of the workforce to less than 1%
June 10, 2024

Key Takeaways

  • New rule from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) banning non-compete contracts for most workers (excluding senior executives that meet certain criteria) is set to take effect in September 2024 - although lawsuits are likely to delay implementation of the rule temporarily if not indefinitely
  • For HR Professionals, some of goals sought by non-discrimination agreements can be achieved via other means, like non-solicit agreements to limit client-poaching, more specific non-disclosure agreements to protect intellectual property, and longer vesting periods for stock options to promote talent retention
  • The healthcare industry will be critically impacted by the new rule as a result of both the high stakes associated with healthcare outcomes and the large number of physicians currently subject to non-compete agreements
  • The FTC claims that banning non-competes will reduce healthcare expenses by 200 billion over the next decade, but many industry insiders believe it will cause health care expenditures to increase, in part due to wage inflation for healthcare workers
  • The new rule, if implemented, is estimated to produce 8,500 new businesses each year, tens of thousands of new patents, and will result in the average US worker earning $524 dollars more each year

ARTICLE | The HR Professional’s Guide To The End of The Non-Compete Era

Last month, the Federal Trade Commission issued a new rule that invalidates non-compete agreements for the vast majority of employment contracts, reducing the percentage of the employees subject to non-compete agreements from almost 20% of the workforce to less than 1%.

For human resource professionals, executives, and organizational leadership, the impacts of these changes will be considerable - from talent acquisition and retention to employee health outcomes - and may be worth considering in advance of when the new rule takes effect this coming fall.

To be clear, it’s very possible if not more likely than not that at least one of the pending/forthcoming lawsuits challenging the new rule will succeed on some level, but the FTC makes a fairly compelling case - both against non-compete agreements and for the agency’s ability to regulate them - that is unlikely to go away even if the new rule in its current form doesn’t survive judicial review unscathed.

In the event that the current era of non-competes truly does come to an end, whether sooner or later, more than a few aspects surrounding common business practices for managing talent retention, intellectual property protection, and limiting competition will have to be rethought and reconfigured from the ground up, which will provide both significant challenges and meaningful opportunities.

How HR professionals and organizations in general respond to those challenges and adapt their way of doing business to adjust to the new non-compete normal, and more importantly how effective those adjustments prove to be, will likely reshape human resources management practices and business organizational structuring for decades to come.

  • What: The new rule prohibits the establishment of almost all new non-compete agreements going forward beginning on the effective date for all employees, including senior executives but excluding business sales. The new rule also invalidates current existing non-compete agreements for most employees, but makes an exception that allows existing non-compete agreements to stay in place for senior executives - defined as earning more than $151,164 in the last year and having final authority to make policy-setting decisions that affect significant aspects of the business.
  • When: The new rule is set to take effect on September 4, 2024, at which point non-excepted existing non-compete agreements will be invalidated and all future non-compete agreements will be banned. Any existing non-compete agreement that does not meet exception criteria will no longer be operable from that date forward, assuming that judicial intervention doesn’t delay the start date.
  • Why: The FTC determined that non-compete agreements lead to inefficiencies in the labor market that can increase cost and lower the quality of output in addition to being coercive, exploitative, and suppressing the wages of workers, even including workers not directly subject to non-compete agreements.

Non-Competes In US Before New Rule

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Non-Competes In US After New Rule

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What Happens Next?

The first thing that employers must do is notify all employees who will be affected by the new rule and inform them that their non-compete agreement will no longer be in effect as of September 4th (or whatever date in advance of September 4, 2024 that the company may choose). The FTC has provided model language to assist in the process that can be found on the agency website.

The next step must be quickly adjusting course in line with the new reality that non-compete agreements may soon be a relic of the past.To understand how the absence of non-compete agreements will affect business operations, it’s important to start with the main goals that non-compete clauses are typically utilized to meet - retaining talent, protecting IP/ trade secrets, and limiting competition.

These goals can all be pursued via a combination of other efforts, of course, but those efforts will not necessarily all be as effective as non-competes had been, nor will they all be equally effective for every employer that puts them to use.

While it remains to be seen what methods will and won’t be effective for a given employer/industry/goal, that process of trial and error in discovering what works and what doesn’t will likely have major consequences that will be felt across the labor market and economy as a whole in terms of how business is conducted going forward relative to the status quo.

IP Protection:

Non-compete agreements have often been employed in order to ensure that in-house know-how and trade secrets stayed in-house.

Perhaps the most relatable of the justifications for restricting the free movement of employees within a market is the understandable desire for organizations to keep some information out of the hands of competitors, would-be market entrants, and others who may inhibit the ability of the business to grow and succeed.

To those ends, non-compete agreements were fairly effective, which is partly responsible for the widespread practice of routinely including non-compete agreements in employment contracts.In a post-non-compete world, one concrete measure organizations can undertake to better protect intellectual property and trade secrets is putting in place more clear and restrictive policies and procedures for using company equipment and for accessing, downloading, storing, and utilizing company data and work product.

These efforts can decrease the likelihood that confidential information gets outside of the building in the first place, in addition to potentially helping to determine if, when, how, and by whom that information was improperly accessed or disclosed in the event of a breach.

While laws that allow for the protection of trade secrets and IP remain in place even absent non-compete agreements, however, in practice it can be much more difficult to prove infractions than to prevent them.

As a result, to better reduce the leaking of valuable information without non-compete agreements to limit in-house knowledge from benefiting competitors, employers are likely to redouble their talent retention-efforts, especially for specialized roles with specific insight into the organization’s competitive advantages.

Regardless of the efforts taken to retain talent, however, some employees with access to trade secrets and valuable organizational knowledge will inevitably move on to work for another employer, in which case tighter, and more specific non-disclosure agreements with heightened penalties for term violations may be the best tools available for ensuring departing employees know both what information should not be revealed and the legal repercussions they may face if they do so.

Talent Retention:

Once non-compete restrictions are lifted, employees will be able to more directly test the market value of their labor by offering it to competitors.

At first, this newfound employee freedom of movement may lead to both increased turnover and increased wages/labor expenses. While some employees will take the opportunity to open their own business, the majority of the influx of talent on the market will likely look to move on and/or move up resulting in an industry-wide game of musical chairs.

As a growing number of companies begin adopting alternative means for achieving the goals they had previously pursued via non-compete agreements, however, that churn is likely to settle and may ultimately lead to a lower turnover rate overall.

For example, while non-competes provided a serviceable ‘stick’ to limit employees’ ability to leave their jobs, the absence of non-compete agreements suddenly makes the various ‘carrots’ that serve a complementary purpose all the more crucial.

While some other retention-aiding ‘sticks’ can still be put to use toward improved retention, including Training Repayment Assistance Programs (TRAPS) so long as those programs are not so severe as to constitute de facto non-compete agreements, ‘carrots’ like escalating bonus schedules, accumulating benefits, and longer vesting periods for stock options will have an increasingly important function in keeping top talent on board.

Inhibiting Competition:

The threat of increased competition is two-fold when employees are suddenly more capable of either putting their skills to use for a rival organization or starting their own operation in the space.

In either case, non-solicit agreements can be effective in limiting that exposure by limiting the ability of employees to poach clients on their way out the door and for a period of time following their employment. Non-solicit agreements should also be put in place to restrict former employees from hiring your organization’s current staff, agents, and sales people for a set period of time following the former employee’s term of employment.

Non-disparagement and non-interference agreements may also be useful in similar situations with similar goals by preventing former employees from disparaging, disrupting, damaging, or otherwise interfering with their former employer’s business.

As for inhibiting competition from existing industry counterparts who benefit from talent your organization developed in-house, the best defense is to shore up your IP protection alongside reinforced talent longevity and retention efforts.

The best offense, on the other hand, may be to bolster your own organization’s ranks with some of the new talent who will be making their services available on the market in the near future.

Exceptions To The Rule:

Beginning September 4th, 2024 most non-compete clauses will be banned going forward, but not all.

Non-compete agreements involving the sale of a business will remain valid for both past and future business sales so that buyers can remain protected from competition from the seller.

Importantly, this exception applies to any bona fide good faith sale in which the seller has an ownership stake regardless of the size of that stake - which is a departure from the proposed rule which required a minimum 25% ownership stake for non-compete clauses to be valid. Though the final rule is an expansion of the exception form the proposed rule, the FTC is clearly aware of the potential abuse of this exception.

Further, the FTC notes that the invalidation of existing non-compete agreements isn’t retroactive, so violations of existing non-competes can still result in viable legal action if the violations or conditions enabling the violations occurred prior to the new rule taking effect.

Most existing non-compete agreements that don’t meet the business sale exception will also be invalidated as of September 4th, 2024, but there is an exception for existing non-compete agreements involving ‘senior executives’ - defined in the rule as employees who earned at least $151,164 in the last year and who have final authority to make policy-setting decisions that affect significant aspects of the business.

Non-profit organizations are also outside the scope of the new rule as beyond the purview of the FTC, but regulators note that they do retain jurisdiction over organizations who may be non-profit in name, designation, and/or tax status, but nonetheless operate as for-profit entities and/or primarily for the benefit of their operators, in which case the new rule will be applicable.

Healthcare-Specific Impacts of Banning Non-Compete Agreements

Given the prominent role that healthcare plays in workforce management, benefits administration, and worker productivity, human resources professionals should also be mindful of some of the healthcare-related changes that may result from banning non-compete agreements.

The two primary negative impacts that non-compete restrictions can have on the healthcare industry according to public commentary highlighted by regulators can be boiled down to reduced access to care and reduced quality of care.

While reduced quality or access to a product or service is generally considered a problem across most industries, the stakes are often significantly higher when health is involved, which is one reason that the FTC paid special attention to address some healthcare related issues and objections related to banning non-competes.

Further, the healthcare industry will be critically impacted by the new rule as a result of the large number of physicians currently subject to non-compete agreements, with as much as 45% of physicians at for-profit hospitals are currently constrained by non-compete agreements.

While the new rule has the support of the American Medical Association, there are still plenty of agents and organizations within the healthcare industry who are of the opinion that the rule will ultimately have a net negative impact.

In responding to those who oppose the new rule, regulators make it clear that they are very much aware of the relevant concerns held by some within the healthcare industry about how the new rule will affect their operations - including that the rule would worsen the existing healthcare worker shortage problem and would drive up healthcare worker wages and health care costs in general as a result - but the FTC largely dismisses those concerns as unsupported by the data.

It is not entirely clear whether or not regulators found those concerns to be without merit, however, or if the evidence in support of those propositions was simply insufficient while they found the data and commentary in opposition to non-compete clauses more compelling.

For example, a significant number of physicians commented that non-competes negatively impact the quality of care they can provide by forcing them to accept care-impacting decisions made by administrators at the institution with which they are contracted while depriving them of the opportunity to offer their skills and experience to a competing institution instead, which can ultimately lower the overall quality of care for both healthcare institutions in the example.

Further, while regulators conceded that tax-exempt organizations in general operate outside the realm of the FTC, they do notably claim jurisdiction over (and fired a shot across the bow of) the many nominally non-profit hospitals and healthcare organizations that nonetheless pay executives exorbitant salaries and contribute less to their communities than the value of the tax breaks they get as a result of their non-profit structure.

What will be the overall impact on healthcare? The FTC claims the new rule will lower healthcare expenses by an average of $20 billion per year over the next decade in addition to creating more competition and offerings to better meet patient needs/demand, while opponents believe freedom of movement for healthcare workers will result in higher wages that drive the cost of healthcare up.

Whatever the end result, there will almost certainly be healthcare-related confusions and complications that arise as the industry adapts to the changing environment, which will likely cause employees to lean on their employers further for guidance and help navigating the evolving healthcare landscape.

Economic Impacts of Banning Non-Compete Agreements

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The Case Against Non-Compete Agreements

According to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), about 30 million workers are currently subject to non-compete agreements, which means any problems that non-compete agreements may be causing or exacerbating are going to be felt economy wide.

Despite the widespread adoption and long history of non-compete clauses in employment contracts, the practice has long been the subject of controversy, with data analysis increasingly seeming to confirm some of the most common critiques of non-compete agreements, including that they are economically inefficient, lead to higher costs, result in worse quality product/service offerings, and stifle innovation.

One of the biggest arguments against non-competes embraced by the FTC is that they unnaturally inhibit free market forces that could potentially distribute labor more efficiently if non-competes weren’t restricting the free movement of talent within a market/geographic region.

Those restrictions affect not only the movement of labor and ideas among existing competitors within a given market, which affects the value of that labor in turn (i.e. wage suppression), but non-compete agreements also inhibit new entrants from accessing the market, which has a chilling effect on innovation by limiting the availability of expertise and experience to would-be innovators and their organizations, whether preexisting or brand new.

Interestingly, data indicates that non-competes not only depress wages and earnings for workers whose contracts contain non-compete clauses, but also for workers who aren’t directly subject to non-compete clauses, as well, by lowering wages across the entire category.

Quality of product and service offerings is another victim of non-compete agreements highlighted by the FTC, noting that employees who are unable to take their services elsewhere are less capable of pushing back against excessive workload, job requirements, or cost-saving measures that are likely to result in a lower quality of work output.

Given these findings, it is no surprise why the FTC decided that the use of these kinds of restrictions should be banned.

Not everyone agrees, however, with opponents challenging both the wisdom of the new rule and the FTC’s authority to issue it, which is a position supported by many stakeholders across a range of industries who believe that regulators at the FTC have overstepped their regulatory bounds with the new rule and grossly misunderstood and/or mischaracterized the potential effects that banning non-compete agreements may have.

Legal Challenges To The New Rule

As of this writing, there are at least 2 separate lawsuits that have been filed against the FTC with regard to this rule.

The most prominent plaintiff thus far is the US Chamber of Commerce, which claims that the FTC lacked the authority to issue such a broadly-sweeping rule, amongst other claims. The suit was filed in the US District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, which the Chamber presumably believes to be a district friendly to the cause and somewhat increases the chances that the challenge will be heard favorably, at least in the short-term.

In making its case, the Chamber specifically pointed to the substantial costs that companies would have to undertake to protect their investments in terms of both developing talent and safeguarding intellectual property if non-competes are no longer permissible.

The FTC counters those complaints by claiming that the agency is specifically mandated to regulate unfair methods of competition, which they have concluded includes non-compete agreements.

The Chamber has not yet said whether it will move for a temporary injunction blocking the enforcement of the rule pending their legal challenge, but as September approaches, that motion for injunction becomes increasingly likely unless another legal challenger to the new rule (of which many more are anticipated) takes that action first.

Mployer Advisor’s Take

Despite having the final rule in hand and just a few months before it is scheduled to take effect, the general consensus is that legal challenges to both the rule banning non-competes and the FTCs right to enact the rule will succeed in delaying implementation at the very least.

How those cases play out remains to be seen for the time being, but given the current makeup of the federal judiciary, substantial changes to the rule if not a de facto gutting of it seem more likely than not prior to the rule taking effect.

Even if the non-compete ban is severely diminished if not invalidated by the time it has been terminally adjudicated, given the clarity of the case they present and the resolution in their actions, regulators at the FTC may very well attempt to achieve the same ends via different, more judicially palatable means should they still be in position to do so next year following the elections this fall.

One way or another, the spotlight has been shone on non-compete clauses, and a return to the era of widespread, default non-compete agreement use is unlikely to happen regardless of the fate of the current legal challenges to the new rule.In justifying the ban, the FTC noted that there were a number of less-intrusive ways for employers to achieve the benefits they’ve come to expect from non-compete agreements including talent retention and IP protection, including some of those discussed above.

Further, the FTC pointed to the experience of several early adopter states like California and Oklahoma that paved the way for the new rule via heightened non-compete regulation above and beyond the national standards at the time. Those early adopter states not only provide evidence that banning non-competes won’t result in the worst outcomes predicted by those opposed to the new rule, but they are also home to thousands of companies that can serve as case studies that can benefit out-of-state companies addressing these issues for the first time with how best to adapt to the new, more competitive environment.

Forward-thinking organizations might be wise to begin looking toward those models, exploring their options, and making the transition away from relying on non-compete agreements before being directly faced with a swiftly approaching the legal deadline for doing so, whether that deadline ends up being this coming September or a little farther down the road.

Economy
The Market Employment Summary for March 2024
Each month, Mployer Advisor breaks down the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ most recent State Employment and Unemployment Summary to highlight some employment trends across various markets. This is an overview of March’s report. 
March 22, 2024

Editor's Note: This report is based on survey data from February 2024 that was published in March 2024. This is the most recent data available. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics)

Despite an overall increase of two-tenths of a point in the national unemployment rate over the same time period, the vast majority of the country (44 states plus Washington DC) saw their state unemployment rate essentially hold steady over the month, while the states that saw a meaningful increase or decrease in unemployment rate were evenly split at 3 apiece.

As for new job additions, the country as a whole had an increase of 275 thousand new jobs, but similar to unemployment rates, 46 states plus Washington DC saw no significant change in their net payroll figures while only 4 states recorded net job gains.

Currently there are 6 states plus Washington DC that have unemployment rates above the US national average of 3.9%, while there are 23 states with unemployment rates below the national average.

Below is the breakdown of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) market employment summary for March 2024.

States With the Highest Unemployment Rates

California, at 5.3% unemployment, ended Nevada's (5.2% unemployment) long reign as the state with the highest unemployment rate.

Washington DC, at 5.1% unemployment, was the only other ‘state’ at or above 5%, although there were 4 states between 4% and 5% - Idaho and New Jersey at 4.8% each, and Washington and New York at 4.7% and 4.4%, respectively.

Over the month, only 3 states recorded an increase in unemployment rate - Idaho at plus 0.3%, followed by Connecticut and Washington at plus 0.1% each.

States With The Lowest Unemployment Rates

The Dakotas collectively topped the list of states with the lowest unemployment rates for the second month in a row, although they switched positions to put North Dakota on top this time at 2.0% while South Dakota was close behind at 2.1%.

The states with the next lowest unemployment rates recorded last month were Maryland, Nebraska, New Jersey, and Minnesota at 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.6%, 2.7%, and 2.8%, respectively.

3 states saw meaningful reductions in unemployment rate over the month - Tennessee and Wisconsin, which each saw their unemployment rates drop by 0.2%, whereas Massachusetts managed a 0.1% decrease in unemployment.

Over the prior 12 months, only 3 states recorded net reductions in unemployment, led by Massachusetts at minus 0.7%, followed by Pennsylvania and Wyoming at minus 0.3% each.

States With New Job Losses

No states saw statistically significant job losses last month/year.

States With New Job Gains

Of the 4 states that recorded net job additions last month, Iowa saw the largest percentage gain at plus 0.7%, followed by Illinois and Texas at plus 0.4% and Michigan at plus 0.3%.

Texas was the state that had the largest gain in terms of total net payroll entries, adding nearly 50 thousand new jobs over the month. Illinois was next on the list at about plus 23 thousand. Michigan and Iowa added about 15 thousand and 11 thousand net jobs, respectively.

Over the last 12 months, Nevada has the largest percentage gain in net jobs at plus 3.4%, followed by Alaska at 3.1% and South Carolina at 3.0%. The largest number of total new jobs over the year went to Texas, Florida, California, and New York.

Mployer Advisor’s Take: 

The Federal Reserve chose to hold off on lowering key interest rates when it convened earlier this week, citing increased inflationary forecasts, but Fed officials nonetheless reinforced their expectation that they will reduce those rates by 0.75% by the end of the year.

Markets responded favorably to the news, but any reaffirmation of rate-lowering plans remains contingent on inflation returning to 2023 levels after an unexpected upward creep in the first couple of months of 2024.

The Fed will meet again in May to reassess the situation and will be keeping a close eye on those inflation numbers in the meantime.

What remains to be seen is whether or not the economy and job market can hold steady alongside the Fed while interest rates continue in their holding pattern perhaps a little longer than expected before the Fed attempts to execute the final stages of their aimed-for soft landing. 

Looking for more exclusive content? Check out the Mployer Advisor blog.

Retirement Planning
How Does Your 401k Offering Stack Up To Other Employers?
Given their prominent position that 401ks hold in the context of modern workforce management, a closer look at some of the surrounding issues can help ensure that your organization’s offerings remain viable relative to the other employers with which you are competing for talent.
March 18, 2024

For over 30 years now, 401ks have been the retirement savings option of choice for most employers and employees alike, which is an impressive feat for an investment vehicle that was initially created by accident and which many experts believe is not particularly well-suited to play the role of pension replacement in which it has been cast.

Despite those and some other inherent shortcomings, however, 401ks dominate the retirement savings landscape and show little sign of slowing down. 

Perhaps in part as a result of the impromptu nature of their genesis followed by meteoric rise to becoming a familiar term around most American kitchen tables, however, the way they are actually constructed -from percentage match to auto-enrollment and auto-escalation, vesting schedules and fees - varies wildly from one company to the next. These features have a dramatic effect on what it costs a company to fund and offer a 401k to the value an employee actually derives (or doesn't).

Over a five year period, for an $80K salary, the difference between a 1% match and a 6% match is the difference between an employer contribution of $4,500 for 1% and $27,000 for 6%, assuming modest investment returns. The difference is $20K+ for an $80K year employee. That is just five years, imagine if that were compounded over 20-30 years.

Given their prominent position that 401ks hold in the context of modern workforce management, a closer look at some of these issues can not only help ensure that your organization’s offerings remain viable relative to the other employers with which you are competing for talent, but can also help you restructure your 401k offering in a way to maximize employee appreciation and the value generated through these benefits.

The following information is primarily drawn from data collected through Mployer Advisor’s annual Insights survey combined with government and other publicly available data sources.

401k Background and Context

The Revenue Act of 1978 included a provision that was intended to enable employees to defer some of their compensation from bonuses or stock options tax free, but a benefits manager at the Johnson Companies recognized the new law - specifically, section 401(k) of the revenue bill - made it possible for the company to offer its employees savings accounts with a major tax advantage attached. 

By 1981, the IRS had issued rules that made it possible for employees to make contributions to those 401k accounts via deductions from their salaries, and just 2 years later nearly half of all of the largest US firms offered (or were considering offering) 401ks.

Even though participation in retirement account savings surpassed defined benefit plans and pensions by about 1991 (around 10 years after they were introduced in earnest) it took another 20 years for total wealth and savings contained in those defined contribution retirement accounts to exceed the value of pension assets likely on a permanent basis.

Currently only, about 15% of private employees in the US have access to defined benefit plans like pensions, and only 11% US workers opt in to those plans, whereas about 66% of private employees in the US have access to defined contribution plans like 401ks and nearly half (48%) choose to participate, which further underscores just how dominant 401ks are currently in the retirement saving space.

Does Company Size Affect Likelihood of Offering 401ks?

As the following graphic clearly demonstrates, there is a direct correlation between the number of workers that a given company employs and the prevalence of 401k offerings among similarly situated companies of approximately the same size. 

As companies grow larger in size, they become increasingly expected to provide a retirement benefit. 85%+ of companies that have 500 or more employees offer a 401ks. That number holds relatively constant, drifting a little south, until you reach smaller employers. Even among smaller employers, offering 401ks has become the norm, with more than 6 out of 10 organizations (61%) that employ between 25 and 49 employees offering 401ks, while almost half of organizations (48%) with between 2 and 24 employees offering 401ks, as well. It costs money to even offer a 401k, even without a match. It is voluntary for a company to

The trend line is clear, and it is intuitive that larger organizations with more employees will also be more incentivized to offer a wider range of incentives in addition to being better equipped to handle the additional administrative workload involved, but the more important takeaway may be just how widespread the adoption is at the lower end of the employee count spectrum.

401ks are nearly everywhere, which is a reality that shouldn’t be ignored in an era during which many employees can work from nearly everywhere, employers are competing with other employers from nearly everywhere, and benefits offerings have become a more prominent point of differentiation perhaps than ever before. 

Not All 401ks Are Created Equal - The Match Is The Biggest Driver

The 401k match is the biggest factor for a 401k. This component is what costs the employers the most money and also benefits the employee. This sets the bar.

As the following graphic illustrates, the average 401k contribution match is about 3.8%, meaning about half of all companies offer matching of 3.8% or more while about half of companies offer less than 3.8%. 

Further, 8 out of 10 companies offer 401k contribution matching between 2% and 6% of employee income, so that is the range in which the vast majority of companies operate, with only 10% of companies falling below that range (down to 0% for those companies offering no 401k matching) and 10% of companies falling above that range (up to about 10% contribution matching on the more generous edge of the spectrum). 

Where does your employer fall on this chart? Do you communicate the value of your 401k offering?

401k Auto-Enrollment and Auto-Escalation

While offering 401ks and matching contributions are obviously necessary steps for employers to take in order for employees to benefit from these opportunities in the first place, these steps alone may not be sufficient to fully realize the talent attraction and retention advantages that can accompany 401k and matching contribution offerings. To those ends, two features that have been shown to have a material effect on employee saving are auto-enrollment and auto-escalation.

While the cost difference for an employer for using these auto features or not may be negligible in the short term, the additional savings that employees can accumulate in the long term can be substantial, which in turn can have a substantial effect on how favorably an employee views their employer and benefits offerings generally.

Auto-enrollment in employer 401(k) offerings serves as a crucial mechanism for ensuring that a larger segment of the workforce participates in retirement savings plans. Without such measures, a significant portion of employees, particularly those who might benefit the most, such as younger or lower-income workers, may not enroll due to lack of awareness, procrastination, or perceived complexity in the enrollment process. This is a concerning scenario, as it leaves vulnerable groups without the means to save adequately for retirement. While implementing auto-enrollment does indeed incur additional costs for employers due to higher participation rates, the long-term benefits to employees' financial security are substantial.

Similarly, auto-escalation provisions in 401(k) plans are designed to gradually increase employees' savings rates over time, often in tandem with annual salary increments. This feature not only boosts employees' retirement savings but, in cases where employers match contributions up to a certain percentage, also increases the amount employers contribute. Though this represents an additional financial commitment for employers, it plays a vital role in encouraging employees to save more towards retirement without actively having to adjust their savings rate annually.

As the following graphic indicates, only about 42% of US employers offer auto-enrollment, while only 25% offer auto-escalation, which represents a real opportunity for employers to differentiate from the much of the competition on this front.

Both auto-enrollment and auto-escalation embody forward-thinking components of retirement savings plans that, while optional and costly for employers, significantly enhance employee benefits. Employers who adopt these features are making a commendable investment in their workforce's financial wellbeing. It's imperative for businesses offering these benefits to communicate their value effectively, highlighting that not all employers provide such advantageous provisions. This communication not only showcases the employer's commitment to employee welfare but also helps in attracting and retaining talent who value financial security and employer support in achieving it.

By taking some of the uncertainty and user error out of the process, employers can virtually guarantee enhanced saving opportunities for their employees by automatically enrolling them as soon as applicable and by increasing contribution amounts on a set schedule in line with employee goals.

401k Vesting and Distribution

Similar to the advantages that 401k auto-enrollment and auto-escalation can provide, features that improve the accessibility and distribution of 401k funds can serve as a point of differentiation, as well, which can also increase applicant attraction and employee satisfaction in a way beneficial to employers.

For example, when and how the matching 401k contributions vest can have a material effect on both the perceived and real value of the benefit as well as on the timeframe in which workers may choose to leave their jobs for employment elsewhere.

Currently, a plurality of employers offer immediate vesting for matching contributions, which is the most advantageous option from a worker perspective, but at just 36% there is still more than enough room on this bandwagon for employers wishing to capitalize on the opportunity to shape their benefits in a way that will be even more appealing to employees.

Somewhat less-favorable to employees is graded vesting, which vests the matching contributions little by little over an extended period of time, which about 32% of employers utilize, while about 27% of employers arrange their matching contributions to vest all at once at a specified date in the future, which is known as cliff vesting and is probably the least appealing option to employees because it requires them to wait longer to obtain legal ownership of those contributions provided by their employer.

As for 401k distribution, there is much less parity among companies in terms of the adoption rates of the various options, with distribution via annuity offered by nearly 9 out of 10 employers (89%). Nearly half (42%) offer distribution via installment payments while only about 12% offer lump sum distribution.

Given that employers can offer more than one possible method for distribution, of course, the operative questions become which option or options will best service the needs of the employees and how to best go about providing those options. 

Communicating Your Plan's Value

The facts -

- Employers do not have to offer a retirement plan

- Retirement plans are expensive, especially when considering the match percent

- Plan features can have an extreme impact on the 401k, both in terms of employer cost and employee long term benefit

- If you offer a rich 401k - 1. make sure you know that and 2. communicate it because it can be a great driver for retention and attraction

Economy
The Market Employment Summary for February 2024
Each month, Mployer Advisor breaks down the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ most recent State Employment and Unemployment Summary to highlight some employment trends across various markets. This is an overview of February’s report.
March 13, 2024

Editor's Note: This report is based on survey data from January 2023 that was published in March 2024. This is the most recent data available. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics)

Because February is a short month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics often doesn’t get around to compiling, analyzing, and releasing January’s economic data until March - as is the case here, with this information finally going public earlier this week.

The corresponding national unemployment data covering the same time frame put the US unemployment rate average at 3.7%, though it has since increased by two–tenths of a point, whereas the initially reported job additions for January were estimated at about 330 thousand, although that figure has subsequently been revised to about 290 thousand. 

Given the unemployment stability in the US average in January, it is no surprise that the vast majority of states showed no meaningful change in unemployment, with 44 states in total essentially holding steady over the month. 

While only a small percentage of states seeing any significant change in unemployment, it is worth noting that twice as many of those states saw an unemployment increase (4) compared to states that saw a net reduction in unemployment (2), which was perhaps a nod to the two-tenths of a point increase in national unemployment we now know was reported in February’s data.

Despite the significant (albeit later downwardly-revised) number of job additions, those gains were only split between 8 states, while the remaining 42 states and Washington DC all saw no meaningful change in their payroll figures.

Below is the breakdown of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) market employment summary for February 2024.

States With the Highest Unemployment Rates

As with last month (and most of last year), Nevada remains the state with the highest unemployment rate. That said, Nevada's rate is down one-tenth of a point month-to-month, decreasing from 5.4% to 5.3%, so it is moving in a positive direction.

California, which is up a tenth of a point from last month, was not far behind Nevada at 5.2%, and Washington DC was the only other ‘state’ at 5% unemployment or higher, with DC recording a net decrease in unemployment of a tenth of a point over the month.

Besides California, the only other states that saw meaningful increases in their unemployment rates were Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Washington, which each saw their unemployment rates go up by 0.2%

Notably, as of this latest report, half of all states recorded a net increase in their unemployment rates over the last 12 months, which is up from the 18 states who claimed the same as of the previous month’s reporting. New Jersey and Maine are at the top of that list at plus 0.9%, followed by Connecticut and Montana at plus 0.8%.

States With The Lowest Unemployment Rates

North and South Dakota stand together as the two states with the lowest unemployment rates during January at 1.9% and 2.1% unemployment, respectively.

Following the Dakotas, Maryland and Vermont each recorded an unemployment rate of 2.3% while Nebraska wasn’t far behind that mark at 2.5%.

Massachusetts and Wisconsin were the only states that saw a decrease in unemployment during the data collection period - each dropping about two-tenths of a percentage point.

Over the 12 months prior to the latest reporting period, 6 states recorded a net decrease in their unemployment rate, led by Massachusetts and Wyoming at minus 0.5%, followed by Pennsylvania and Mississippi at minus 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively, and lastly Kansas and Texas at minus 0.2% unemployment on the year.

States With New Job Losses

No states saw statistically significant job losses last month/year.

States With New Job Gains

8 states saw a net increase in jobs over the course of January. The largest percentage increases went to New York and Vermont at plus 0.6%, followed by Massachusetts and New Jersey at plus 0.5%, and Connecticut, Florida, and South Carolina at plus 0.4% each.

In terms of the raw number of payroll additions, New York edged out California at plus 59 thousand to plus 58 thousand, followed by Florida which added 38 thousand new jobs.

Over the 12 months prior to January 2024, 27 states saw statistically significant increases to their jobs numbers while the remainder were essentially unchanged.

The states with the largest percentage increase in jobs over the year were Nevada at plus 3.8%, followed by Alaska and South Carolina each at 3%, while the states with the largest number of job additions in terms of raw numbers were Texas, Florida, and California, which added about a quarter of a million jobs apiece.

Mployer Advisor’s Take: 

It’s always interesting to take a look back at these delayed economic releases in light of the additional data that has been made available in the time since the data supporting this current report was collected.

Are there some indicators in this data set that might’ve supported a hypothesis that the following month was going to see a small jump in national unemployment? Perhaps. 

That said, since it remains to be seen whether or not the employment data in the report released earlier this month will be a brief deviation from the mean or the beginning of a new trend, there is little to be gained at this point from determining just how predictive the data from the start of the year will ultimately prove to be.

In a few weeks when March’s data is released, the overall picture of the labor market and the economy in general will be that much clearer, and in the meantime at the end of next week we’ll have the opportunity to look at the market data collected in February, so the wait to get a better understanding of how the latest unemployment uptick is being absorbed among states won’t be long either.

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Workforce Management
The CFO Role: Less Accounting & More Strategy - Including People Strategy
A look at the state of finance departments across US companies over the last few years reveals an interesting mix of stability and change.
March 11, 2024

A look at the state of finance departments across US companies over the last few years reveals an interesting mix of stability and change.

On the one hand, looking across other key positions and departments, the finance department has proven to be consistent from a staffing and churn perspective. Having a full finance department is a requirement of doing business. Even throughout the pandemic and other macro economic shifts the past several years, the finance department has not faced any materially more or less churn in their roles or pattern changes in hiring. Looking at the trends below, you almost would not even notice a pandemic occurred. HR, sales, technology and nearly all other departments had booms and busts over the past 36-48 months but finance? There was barely a shuffle.


At the same time however, the nature of finance departments and their scope of duties has been shifting and growing in many cases as CFOs absorb strategy responsibilities previously owned by other company leaders like digital, staffing, HR and others. Even in the light of these changes, the finance department expenditures on the whole are moving in the opposite direction and decreasing year over year. For a department that preaches fiscal conservation, they have taken their own advice.

While there may appear to be some degree of contradiction in describing the situation as both steady and in flux, the reality is that the work that financial professionals do and the accompanying expertise they provide have become increasingly recognized and valued, meanwhile technology is enabling those same professionals to do their jobs even faster, better, and often more cheaply than ever before.

These conditions have made it possible for finance departments across the country to continue in their work largely undisturbed by wild market disruptions while taking on more and greater challenges that go well beyond the purview of traditional financial operations and are reshaping in real time what it means to be or work in support of a Chief Financial Officer.


CFOs By The Numbers

First, lets ground ourselves.

  • There are more than 130 thousand Chief Financial Officers in the United States;
  • Average CFO tenure was about 3 and a half years, which was the shortest tenure of among C-level executives;
  • In the 10 years between 2012 and 2022, the percentage of Fortune 500 and S&P 500 CFOs that ascended to CEO increased by almost 45%;
  • In the 5 years between 2016 and 2021, more than half of the largest 2,500 companies in the US experienced 1 turnover in their CFO role, and 16% of those companies saw 2 CFO departures during that window;
  • Approximately 72% of US CFOs are men; and
  • Average age for CFOs in the US is 51 years old.

As positions change, January is the bellwether of job change graphs like the one below because it includes not only the portion of job leavers that would naturally seek new employment in any given month, but also represents the pent up quit/retirement demand from the year before as a result of employees waiting for their full-year incentives and bonuses to vest in the new year before leaving their position.

The pandemic had not yet begun meaningfully begun to affect the US economy through January of 2020, and while the remainder of that year saw a meaningful decrease in job movement among financial professionals as lockdowns, supply chain collapse, and general uncertainty all peaked, January of 2021 roared back in a major way, representing a groundswell of confidence in financial job security that has remained largely stable since that recovery spike normalized.


External Hires Favored Over Internal Promotions

For financial executives and controllers alike, the last 4 years have thoroughly solidified the practice of leaning into external hiring over internal promotions to fill vacancies and skill gaps.

Over the last 4 years, for both financial executives and controllers, the percentage of candidates that have moved up from within the company has been very steady - wavering less than 1% plus or minus from each average over the period. Further, the average internal hire rate was more than 25% and less than 33.3% for both financial executives and controllers as well. In other words, so far this decade, only between 1 of 3 and 1 of 4 new hires for financial professionals were internal promotions, and there is no indication that trend is shifting soon.

On the flipside, of course, about 70% of financial executive hires went to outside candidates over the past four years, while about 74% of controllers were brought in as external hires, so the majority of career advancement opportunities for financial professionals currently involves looking beyond their current employer.




Finance Department Expenses Dropping

In the 10 years during which the data represented in the following graph was collected, finance department expenses dropped by 25%, and that percentage was slightly greater among the top quartile of companies that had the largest finance costs over the course of the decade.

The significance of those overhead reductions cannot be overstated, both in terms of securing job stability for professionals within the industry as well as in making it possible for financial professionals as individuals and department teams to broaden their domain and influence within their respective organizations.

What is less clear, however, is where the credit for those expense reductions should land. While a significant portion of the improved efficiency is certainly the result of technological innovation, the onboarding of new responsibilities and the offloading of previously held responsibilities makes it more difficult to ascertain what portion of the decreased finance department expenses were simply transferred onto other departments.




CFOs Are Absorbing Additional Responsibilities


The following graph illuminates a few interesting points about how the nature of the CFO role has been evolving in recent years.

CFOs are generally shifting their focus toward strategy and away from auditing and compliance, but it’s also important to note that the CFOs are onboarding more responsibilities than they are offloading, so the net effect is an overall increase in influence for the CFO position within organizations.

Perhaps relatedly, CFOs have been expanding their scope of influence into aspects of business operations that have been increasingly relevant to the overall viability of an organization, like investor relations and technology-centric issues including cybersecurity, IT, and enterprise transformation. As a result of this forward-looking shift in focus, the position of CFO is well-positioned to continue growing in importance in the years ahead.


Where does people strategy fit in for a CFO?


People and benefits represent one of the largest expenses for companies, prompting CFOs to engage more deeply and frequently in human resource management. As companies strive to optimize their financial performance, the management of personnel costs—salaries, benefits, training, and development—becomes crucial.

This direct involvement of CFOs highlights a strategic shift towards a more integrated approach where financial management and human capital strategies are closely aligned. Given that employees are also considered a company's greatest asset, contributing significantly to innovation, productivity, and competitive advantage, the role of the CFO has expanded to ensure that investments in human capital are aligned with overall business objectives and financial goals.

Despite HR budgets typically representing less than 2% of a company's total budgeted expenditures, the impact of effective human resource management on an organization's success is disproportionately large.

While less than 20% of HR teams report in to the CFO, the alignment has gone up considerably the past decade.


Going Forward: Top Concerns For CFOs To Keep An Eye On

  1. Talent Shortages: More than 3 out of 4 US CFOs that were surveyed had experienced difficulties recruiting staff with sufficient financial talent or experience.
  2. Cash & Liquidity Planning: Properly preparing for potential economic downturn is all the more challenging after 2 years of calls for relatively imminent recession failed to come fruition and yet a relatively near-term recession certainly remains possible.
  3. Cost of Capital: Although the Fed is likely to begin bringing down interest rates sometime this summer, capital costs will probably remain a top concern for financial executives for the foreseeable future.

Economy
The Employment Situation for March 2024
The latest economic release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the U.S. added 275 thousand new jobs last month, while the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%.
March 8, 2024

Editor's Note: This report is based on survey data from February 2024 that was published in March 2024. This is the most recent data available. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics)

US employers added 275 thousand jobs last month, and while the unemployment rate rose only slightly from 3.7% to 3.9%, it is nonetheless the highest it has been since February of 2022.

The 275 thousand new jobs that were added last month surpassed the approximately 200 thousand new jobs economists were predicting, and also represents an increase of 20% over the month before which posted about 229 thousand new jobs. 

That said, those 229 thousand new jobs reported in February were a downward reduction of about 35% from the 353 thousand jobs that had initially been reported. January’s figures were also revised downward this month by about 13% from 333 thousand to 290 thousand.

The number of permanent job losers increased by about 10% over the month to about 1.7 million, which is up about 23% in total over the last year, while the labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5% for the third consecutive month.

As for job growth, the healthcare industry led the field last month with the addition of 66 thousand new jobs, which is just above pace for the 58 thousand new jobs the healthcare industry has added on average over each of the last 12 months.

The government sector added about 52 thousand new jobs, followed by 42 thousand new jobs in food services and drinking establishments, which saw their first substantial increase in months after making massive recovery gains for much of the last 2 years.

The transportation and warehousing, social assistance, construction, and retail industries each added in the neighborhood of 20 thousand jobs, while there was little noteworthy change in payroll figures for the mining, oil, natural gas, wholesale, manufacturing, financial activities, personal services, business services, and information industries.

The average workweek increased by an adjusted tenth of an hour to 34.3 hours per week, which is down slightly from 12 months ago when the average was 34.5 hours weekly and represents a rare upward break from the general downward trend in average private hours worked per week.

Average hourly earnings rose by an adjusted 5 cents to $34.57, which is a noteworthy slowdown from the previously established pace of increasing wages, which are up 4.3% over the past 12 months.

Mployer Advisor’s Take

The latest jobs report brought some mixed messages, with unemployment ticking up but job additions once again exceeding expectations.

While some headlines will certainly highlight the two-tenths of a point increase in the unemployment rate, the more significant story for the time being remains the 2 plus years during which unemployment has held steady below 4%. 

On the spectrum between inflation and recession is a sweet spot in the middle that is akin to the ‘soft landing’ that the Federal Reserve has been steering the economy toward for the last couple of years. 

While this most recent economic report is probably a small step away from inflation, that also means it’s a small step toward recession, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. 

A step away from inflation and toward recession doesn’t mean that recession is imminent or even inevitable - boom and bust cycle notwithstanding. That same step could also be re-centering the economy in the middle of that sweet spot.

The operative questions become how long can the economy hover in the middle of that spectrum in between additional steps toward recession, and how small or large will those next steps toward recession be. If the economy and job market can come anywhere close to matching the stability and consistency they’ve shown over the past couple of years, then it may be quite a while yet before major economic downturn becomes an imminent concern.

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Industry News
Human Resources State Of The Union
The human resources field has been steadily expanding for the better part of a decade now, with nearly 980 thousand HR employees spread out across the US by the end of 2023. This is a credit to the increasing realization that a dedicated people strategy, proper talent management, employee retention and appropriate communication can have on an organizations 1. mission and 2. financials.
March 4, 2024

ARTICLE |  Human Resources State Of The Union

The human resources field has been steadily expanding for the better part of a decade now, with nearly 980 thousand HR employees spread out across the US by the end of 2023. This is a credit to the increasing realization that a dedicated people strategy, proper talent management, employee retention and appropriate communication can have on an organizations 1. mission and 2. financials.


Even in the face of numerous disruptions to the workforce of international scale in the intervening years, the number of human resources professionals on US payrolls is up about 70% from the approximate 575 thousand US HR workers that the US boasted in 2015.


Perhaps even more interestingly, the ranks of human resources executives are well-positioned to continue growing into the future in the near-term, at times seemingly in spite of and at times seemingly because of the increased pervasiveness of artificial intelligence usage across human resources departments - more on that below.


What follows are some of the more interesting data points we’ve put together to help tell the story of the human resources field as it is today as well as how it is changing.

HR Execs are Doing More Moving Up Than Moving On


While 2022 was a busy year for Human Resources professionals seeking greener pastures and obtaining positions with new companies in order to progress their careers, those numbers substantially normalized over the last year and are much more in line with the level of executive  inter-company movement we saw in 2020 and 2021.


It’s worth noting that January has consistently been the month during which produced the greatest amount of HR executive churn over the past several years. With January behind us already in 2024, however, if historical trends over the last couple of years hold true, the next human resources executive exodus will likely occur in April, with churn decelerating then throughout the summer and fall until the close of the year.



One of the main reasons that there has been a noteworthy decrease in HR professionals leaving their current jobs for outside opportunities may be the inversely increasing amount of internal promotions that have occurred over the same time frame. Between 2021 and 2023, the proportion of internal promotions relative to total executive movement increased by 20%, with internal promotions climbing to account for nearly 4 out of every 10 human resource executives that changed jobs/companies, etc.

Further, the data indicates that the trend toward internal promotion has been picking up speed over the past couple of years, with the proportional growth of internal promotions relative to all HR professional job movements increasing 3 times faster from 2022 to 2023 than from 2021 to 2022.



‘Chief Human Resource Officer’ is in and ‘Chief People Officer Is Out’


It was trendy for a little bit, but just as the job itself has evolved significantly over the last 100 plus years, the various titles by which companies have referred to their human resource lead has organically shifted among various options including HRBP or Human Resources Business Partner, VP of Human Resources, Chief Human Resources Officer, and Chief People Officer, for example.

The title Chief People Officer (CPO) has been riding atop the popularity wave in recent years - consistently exceeding the next most popular alternative, Chief Human Resources Officer (CHRO), by a significant margin. Since 2022, however, CHRO has been trending upward and making up ground while CPO has been doing the exact opposite. As of 2023, Chief Human Resources Officer is nearly as common as Chief People Officer with CHRO  likely to overtake CPO as the most popular HR head title in 2024 if these historical trends hold true.



HR Job Postings Increasingly Reference AI


Artificial Intelligence tools have become more and more commonplace across a wide range of applications in recent years, and the human resources field has been no exception, incorporating AI in various capacities including job application processing, automated applicant interviewing, employee benefits optimization, and job performance analytic assessments.

Accordingly, it is no surprise that the number of HR jobs postings that relate to AI have been rapidly on the rise as well. In fact, since the second half of 2021 when the moving average number of AI-related HR job postings and other HR job postings were last approximately on par, the AI HR job posts have grown a more than 75% margin over the HR job postings that don’t involve artificial intelligence. Clearly the continuing incorporation of AI within nearly every aspect of the human resources field has been gaining momentum and is likely to continue doing so barring some currently unforeseen disruption.

While AI is referenced in a lot of places, what it really means is better analytics for the most part.  The best examples include -

1. AI-Powered Recruitment Tools: These tools use artificial intelligence to streamline the recruitment process, from sourcing candidates to screening resumes and even conducting initial interviews. AI algorithms can analyze large volumes of applications quickly, identifying the most suitable candidates based on predefined criteria. This not only speeds up the hiring process but also helps reduce biases by focusing on skills and qualifications. In short, better analytics around screening applicants.
2. Employee Engagement and Sentiment Analysis: AI technologies are increasingly being used to gauge employee engagement and morale through sentiment analysis of internal communication platforms, surveys, and feedback tools. By analyzing text and speech for emotional cues, AI can provide insights into overall employee satisfaction and identify areas for improvement in workplace culture and engagement strategies. In short, better analytics around surveys and feedback.
3. Predictive Analytics for Talent Management: AI-driven predictive analytics are being utilized to forecast future employee behaviors, such as the likelihood of an employee leaving, potential future leaders, or identifying skill gaps within the organization. This allows HR professionals to proactively address issues, plan for succession, and ensure the workforce is aligned with the company's future needs. In short, better analytics around talent management.  
4. Automated Employee Assistance and HR Bots: Chatbots and virtual assistants powered by AI are becoming more common in addressing employee queries, providing information on HR policies, benefits, and procedures, and even assisting with personal development and training recommendations. These tools offer employees 24/7 access to HR support and can significantly reduce the administrative burden on HR departments. In short, well - this one is large language model related and the term AI fits well.
These analytics / AI applications reflect the growing trend towards leveraging technology to enhance HR functions, improve the employee experience, and make data-driven decisions in managing human capital.


What are important HR micro-trends over the next 3-5 years?

We will skip the buzz words, as you can see above they started to proliferate through job postings. Going one level deeper, and actual impacting the day to day, below are four major trends we are keeping an eye on. New technologies will evolve in this space, strategies are already in place in many companies we talk to and we will move from the second inning to later in the game with the below items.


1. Widespread Adoption of Remote Work Technologies: HR departments will increasingly adopt and refine technologies that support remote and hybrid work models. Tools for virtual on-boarding, engagement tracking, remote team building, and online performance management will become standard. HR will need to ensure these technologies are accessible and user-friendly to support a distributed workforce while maintaining team cohesion and company culture.

2. Micro-Credentialing and Continuous Learning Platforms: As the pace of technological change accelerates, there will be a shift towards micro-credentialing and continuous learning platforms. HR will integrate these platforms into employee development programs to offer short, focused courses that provide specific skills or knowledge, allowing employees to adapt to changing job requirements quickly and efficiently.

3. Expansion of Employee Self-Service (ESS) Platforms: Enhanced Employee Self-Service platforms will become more common, allowing employees to take charge of their personal information, benefits management, and learning and development activities. These platforms will offer more personalized experiences, using AI to recommend training, predict employee needs, and facilitate career development paths.

4. Utilization of Predictive Analytics in Talent Acquisition: HR will make more extensive use of predictive analytics for talent acquisition, going beyond traditional hiring criteria to include variables like candidate potential, team fit, and future performance predictions. This approach will help HR departments to not only fill positions more effectively but also to anticipate future hiring needs and reduce turnover by identifying candidates who are more likely to succeed and stay with the company long-term.

These specific changes indicate a shift towards more personalized, technology-driven HR practices that not only streamline HR operations but also enhance the employee experience and contribute to the organization's strategic goals.